GREAT PACIFIC TRADING ENERGY INFO

About Unleaded Gasoline (HU)

Distillation is the primary method of refining Crude Oil into Heating Oil. The crude oil is heated at the bottom of a tall metal tower. As the crude gets hotter, it turns to a gaseous state the vapors rise. As the vapors rise, they cool. Each Crude Oil by product, in its gaseous state has a specific cooling temperature, corresponding with a height of the tower. At these predetermined heights in the tower, pipes lead off to separate the various petroleum products. Heavier fractions like fuel oils, and diesel fuel are taken from the bottom part of the heating tower. Lighter fractions like butane, gasoline, and kerosene are taken from the top of the tower. The heating tower produces the rough materials for the six basic categories of petroleum products.

Gasoline includes premium and regular grades, both leaded and unleaded, and other refinery products. For over a decade, Gasoline has been the largest petroleum product refined in the United States and the world. Almost three quarters of the total usage of gasoline is done by individuals, with demand ebbing and flowing with the publics driving habits.

The supply of Unleaded Gasoline is directly related to the supply of Crude Oil, since Unleaded Gasoline is a product of refining Crude Oil. The supply or production of Unleaded Gasoline is best understood by breaking it down into two components: Crude Oil supply and available remaining supply of Unleaded Gasoline. The supply of Crude Oil is influenced by oil discoveries and technological advancements in drilling techniques. The advent of deep water oil drilling, as well as other technological advancements in oil findings, are important factors in considering the future supply of Crude Oil.

Available supply of Unleaded Gasoline is the amount Unleaded Gasoline already refined and ready to be used. The American Petroleum Institute releases oil supply numbers (or stocks) weekly. Most major papers present this information. When the available stocks are large, consumers and distributors have to rush to the market to meet causing prices tend to languish. When the stocks positions are low, consumers and distributors have trouble obtaining needed Unleaded Gasoline and will generally pay higher prices to meet their current needs.

Political considerations also play an important role in the available supply of Unleaded Gasoline. In 1973, the major Arab oil producing countries banded together to form a cartel to restrict the supply of Crude Oil on the world market to inflate the price. The Organization of Oil Exporting Countries (OPEC) has grown considerably since 1973, but its power has diminished greatly in recent years. NON-OPEC countries are producing more and more oil. OPEC, even in its slightly diminished capacity, is still the major political force in the oil production area. OPEC countries include: Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, United Arab Emirates, Algeria, Iran, Iraq, Libya, Qatar, Algeria, Ecuador, Gabon, Indonesia, Nigeria, and Venezuela.

The demand for Gasoline is dependent on two main factors: weather, and consumer habits. Weather plays a critical role in the demand for Gasoline. Demand for Gasoline is heavily influenced by the driving habits of the population, which are greatly influenced by the weather. As such, Gasoline demand tends to rise in the summer during the "summer driving season". When the weather is nice, people tend to drive more. Couple this propensity for more driving with warm weather and more use of automobile air-conditioners, which greatly diminish fuel efficiency, and the market experiences more demand and less efficient use of the available supply. The demand for gasoline is also greatly influenced by heating oil demand, as well as Government fuel efficiency standards and pollution control standards.

The macro factors affecting demand for Crude Oil, also affect the demand for gasoline. These broad based factors are income levels, population growth and per capita income levels, exchange rates, and consumer attitudes concerning fuel usage


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